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SEPTEMBER 2009


Window On Eurasia: Speculations About Death Of Aleksii Said A Siloviki Warning To Kirill

posted by eagle on September, 2009 as ANALYSIS / OPINION


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 21, 2009

Window on Eurasia: Speculations about Death of Aleksii Said a Siloviki Warning to Kirill

Paul Goble

Vienna, September 21 – Angered by Patriarch Kirill’s increasing involvement in Russian political life in ways they do not like, the force structures -- “siloviki” – reportedly are behind media speculations about the death of his predecessor, Aleksii II, both to raise questions about the legitimacy of the current church leader and to remind him of his own mortality.
In an article in the current issue of “Argumenty nedeli,” Andrey Uglanov says that Kirill’s extraordinary activity has attracted ever more attention, including from some who the journalist points out do not like to have their positions questioned let alone challenged. And that has become Kirill’s “big problem” (www.argumenti.ru/publications/10795).
Uglanov writes that “it is said that the behavior of the patriarch” in Ukraine and in the Russian Federation as well “does not very much please a definite circle of the so-called siloviki” and that they are looking for ways either to ...

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Window On Eurasia: Moscow Postpones The Russian Census – Until After The Presidential Elections

posted by eagle on as ANALYSIS / OPINION


FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 18, 2009

Window on Eurasia: Moscow Postpones the Russian Census – Until After the Presidential Elections

Paul Goble

Vienna, September 18 – Citing budgetary shortfalls as a result of the economic crisis, the Russian government has rescheduled the national census that had been set for 2010 to 2013, putting it after the next presidential elections and opening the way among other things for patently false claims that Russia does not face significant demographic problems.
Aleksandr Surinov, the deputy chief of the federal government State Statistical Service (Rosstat), said today the Russian government had directed his agency to put off the census from 2010 to 2013 because the authorities do not have the necessary funds to pay for it as a result of the economic crisis (www.kommersant.ru/doc.aspx?DocsID=1239706).
Rosstat has already spent some two billion rubles (60 million US dollars) out of a planned budget of 18 billion (580 million US dollars) to develop census forms and the technology to process it. Those expenditures, Surinov said, will not go to ...

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Moscow Times: Caucasus Is Real Citadel of Russian Power

posted by circassiankama on as ANALYSIS / OPINION


Caucasus Is Real Citadel of Russian Power

By Sergei Konoplyov

During the Cold War, the Black Sea was a dividing line between NATO and the Warsaw Pact. After the fall of Berlin Wall, the confrontation in the Black Sea disappeared. But the August 2008 war between Russia and Georgia returned the Black Sea to the arena of naval contest. Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, based in Sevastopol, sent military ships into Georgian waters, and a number of Georgian naval ships were destroyed. Later, demonstrating clear support for Georgia, several U.S. warships rushed to the Georgian coast with humanitarian aid. Recent developments in the region show that a new escalation might follow very soon.

Last week, the de facto government of Abkhazia announced that it would destroy Georgian coast guard boats if they kept detaining commercial vessels destined for Sukhumi. It claims that Georgia has halted 23 ships in Black Sea ...


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Associated Press- Analysis: Advantage to Russia in US missile move

posted by circassiankama on as ANALYSIS / OPINION


Analysis: Advantage to Russia in US missile move

MOSCOW — The Kremlin got exactly what it wanted when the United States scrapped plans for missile defenses on Russia's borders.

And Moscow wasted no time in trying to show, at least publicly, that it has ceded nothing in return and, in fact, intends to press for more from Washington.

Iran and its nuclear intentions loomed over Thursday's decision by the Obama administration to abandon the idea of placing a missile defense shield in Poland and the Czech Republic. Lurking not far under the surface were deeper issues such as the fate of Washington's staunchest allies in the former Soviet bloc and their fears of their massive eastern neighbor.

For now, Russia appears to have the upper hand — the Kremlin can crow to a domestic audience about staring down the Americans and thumbing its nose at the upstart Poles. The White House is hoping for more cooperation from Moscow on Iran ...


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RFE/RL: Europe Grapples With Geopolitical Strategies

posted by circassiankama on as ANALYSIS / OPINION


Europe grapples with geopolitical strategies
Seeks to counteract Russia's attempts to expand its influence in the region

Tuesday, September 15, 2009
RFE/RL

There was an element of deja vu in the EU ministers' discussion of the South Caucasus. The bloc's current Swedish presidency had prepared a new strategy paper on the region.

The strategy review is largely a symbolic exercise, since the three countries all have existing engagements with the EU. Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia have all signed up to the bloc's European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) and have agreed to ENP action plans. Earlier this year, they also joined the EU's Eastern Partnership together with Ukraine, Moldova, and Belarus.

The EU's Swedish presidency is keen to keep the spotlight specifically on the South Caucasus region, however -- partly because next year's Spanish and Belgian presidencies are liable to have other priorities, and partly to counteract Russia's attempts to expand its influence in the region.

At a press conference after the latest EU meeting on September 15, Swedish Foreign Minister Carl ...
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