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NOVEMBER 2009

Prague Watchdog: The Rules Of The Game

posted by eagle on November, 2009 as ANALYSIS / OPINION

	November 18th 2009 · Prague Watchdog / German Sadulayev. ALSO AVAILABLE IN:

Last week President Dmitry Medvedev delivered his second Annual Address to Russia’s parliament, the Federal Assembly. An important section of the address was devoted to the North Caucasus. The President clearly stated the key social and economic problems of the region.

It appears that the new "czar” for the North Caucasus will be primarily a governor-general. The question of who will take up the new post is less important than the fact that it has been created at all.

In any confrontation, especially a military one, one side always tries to impose its strategy and tactics on the other, and if unsuccessful the defeated party is compelled to limit itself to retaliatory actions, to react to the moves of the adversary, unable to carry out its own plan. After Basayev's incursion into Dagestan at the beginning of the second Chechen war, Ichkeria’s armed forces lost the initiative. The federal troops carried out their plan, but the militants could only react, attempting ...

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Window On Eurasia: ‘Titanic Effect’ May Delay Russian Development Plans In Arctic

posted by eagle on as ANALYSIS / OPINION

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 18, 2009

Window on Eurasia: ‘Titanic Effect’ May Delay Russian Development Plans in Arctic

Paul Goble

Vienna, November 18 – Even though the Arctic Sea floor contains up to 30 percent of the world’s remaining natural gas reserves and has been identified by President Dmitry Medvedev as “Russia’s resource base for the 21st century,” a climatic quirk may limit Moscow’s ability to develop these and other natural resources anytime soon.
That quirk, which was discussed in detail at a Moscow conference last week, involves the following counter-intuitive development: As global warming has reduced the Arctic ice cap, that has contributed to an increase in the number of icebergs, thus creating a new challenge for drilling platforms and shipping there (www.vremya.ru/2009/210/4/241768.html).
And that “Titanic effect,” as researchers are calling it, could have two further consequences, both of which may prove far more significant than anyone might have thought only a year or two ago. On the one hand, the iceberg problem is likely to significantly reduce the chances that ...

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KC: NATO Accused Russia In Violation Of The Vienna Obligations

posted by eagle on as ANALYSIS / OPINION

NATO accused Russia in violation of the Vienna obligations

Publication time: 18 November 2009, 20:06

NATO is concerned over the recent Russian-Belarusian large-scale military drills "Zapad (West) 2009", said on Wednesday NATO spokesman James Appathurai.

As he said, the NATO Council at the ambassadorial level of 28 member countries of the Alliance at a meeting in Brussels on Thursday, in particular, has expressed a concern about the extent of the exercises, which "were the largest since the end of the "Cold War", as well as the fact that Russia did not invite observers to the maneuvers which is being seen by NATO as a violation of the Vienna obligations".

Vienna Document ("On measures to reduce the military danger and confidence building in Europe"), to which Appathurai referred, in 1999, signed by 55 state-participants of OSCE. This document provides for exchange of information on conducting large-scale military exercises.

In addition, Appathurai said that the NATO allies have also expressed concern regarding the fact that the scenario of Russian-Belarusian doctrines anticipated the ...

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BBC NEWS: EU Seeks Russian Energy Boost

posted by eagle on as ANALYSIS / OPINION

EU seeks Russian energy boost

Europe's need for stable deliveries of Russian gas will loom large at an EU-Russia summit in the Swedish capital Stockholm on Wednesday.

The August 2008 Russia-Georgia war and the disruption of Russian gas exports last winter led to frosty relations with the EU, and a new partnership deal is still being negotiated.

Russia's President Dmitry Medvedev will participate in the meeting, which is expected to include discussion of trade, climate change and human rights.

ENERGY

The EU has pushed for a mechanism to prevent any repeat of the January 2009 Russian gas shutdown, which left millions of people in Eastern Europe shivering in unheated homes and forced dozens of factories to suspend operations.

On Monday the EU and Russia agreed to set up an early warning system to ensure that EU importers of Russian gas would not be plunged into another crisis.

Russia's ambassador to the EU, Vladimir Chizhov, said it was more than a hotline - he described it as "a network of commitments" including "prompt ...

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News.Az: EU not well represented in talks on frozen conflicts in Caucasus - German expert

posted by circassiankama on as ANALYSIS / OPINION

EU not well represented in talks on frozen conflicts in Caucasus - German expert

Tue 10 November 2009 | 08:08 GMT

Kathrin Brockmann

News.Az interviews Kathrin Brockmann, resident fellow of the German Council on Foreign Relations' International Forum on Strategic Thinking.

What is Azerbaijan for the EU? Is it just an energy supplier or something more?

Energy issues do play an essential role in EU policies. However, as one of the EU’s Eastern neighbours, Azerbaijan is more than just an energy supplier to the European Union. After the 2004 enlargement, the EU debated the issue of avoiding dividing lines and “new walls” in Europe by promoting regional frameworks for cooperation with its neighbours.

The conflicts over Nagorno-Karabakh, South Ossetia and Abkhazia have put economic and political pressure on the three ...

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